Canada Energy Atlas · v2026.2 · August 2026 · Electricity

Canada does not have a national grid.

It has thirteen electricity systems, a weak east–west backbone, and stronger wires to the United States than to itself. This atlas is a working, cited map of that fact.

Historical year 2023 · CER Energy Future 2026 · intensity 2022 NIR via CER profiles

622
TWh generated, 2023
80%
non-emitting share
159.4 GW
installed capacity
27
TWh net exports to the US

The country, as thirteen systems

Colour is the 2023 share of generation from hydro, nuclear, wind, solar, and biomass. Quebec, Manitoba, B.C., Newfoundland and Labrador, and PEI’s own generation are already nearly non-emitting. Alberta, Saskatchewan, Nova Scotia, and Nunavut are not. That is the whole climate geography of Canadian electricity.

Figure 1. Non-emitting share of electricity generation, 2023. Source: CER Energy Future 2026, Current Measures historical year.

How the megawatt-hours are actually made

Quebec is a third of Canadian generation. Ontario is a quarter, and most of that is nuclear. Alberta is a gas system that still carried some coal in 2023 (the last year in this series; coal was gone by June 2024). The bars are sized by TWh, not by politics.

Figure 2. Electricity generation by fuel, 2023, thirteen jurisdictions. Bar length is TWh. Click a row for the dossier. Source: CER EF2026.

Wires that run north–south

Named international paths in the NRCan 2026 intertie map sum to about 17,097 MW of transfer capability toward the United States. The five prairie-to-Ontario east–west hops sum to about 3,355 MW. Churchill Falls to Quebec (5,428 MW) is the largest interprovincial path in the country — and it is a 1969 contract, not a national grid.

2023 net exports were 27.0 TWh, all of it with the United States. That was a drought year: B.C. flipped to a 10.2 TWh net importer, Quebec’s exports fell, and Canada still sold a surplus south. The pattern is structural. The volume is not.

The forecast is a fan, not a number

CER Energy Future 2026 does not publish “the” Canadian outlook. It publishes four. Current Measures, Higher, and Lower vary GDP, LNG, data-centre load, and prices. Canada Net-zero forces a 2050 emissions endpoint. Generation in 2050 ranges from 865 TWh to 1,323 TWh. Treat anyone quoting a single 2050 TWh as selling a scenario.

history → forecast 2005202320352050 60080010001200
LowerCurrent MeasuresHigherCanada Net-zero TWh generated
Figure 3. Canadian electricity generation, 2005–2050 (TWh). Source: CER Energy Future 2026. History is identical across scenarios through 2023.

Four systems that set the country

v1 of this atlas is complete for Quebec, Ontario, Alberta, and British Columbia. The other nine jurisdictions have a comparable hero strip so the 13-up never breaks.

Crown hydro
Quebec

Winter-peaking exporter. Rates as industrial strategy. Churchill Falls overhead.

Nuclear + administered market
Ontario

Refurbishment calendar, gas as swing, data centres in the queue.

Energy-only
Alberta

Coal is gone. Gas, wind, solar, and a market redesign remain.

Heritage hydro + trade
British Columbia

Site C, Powerex, and a north-coast load shock. 2023 was a drought.

Generation map

Major stations, current and planned, on a dark basemap.

Transmission map

735 kV, HVDC, interties, and the announced spines.

Demand vs capacity

CER fans plus IESO, AESO, HQ, BC Hydro. Operating vs announced.

Transmission

Every named intertie, MW in and out. CHPE is in service.

Markets

Three families: Crown, hybrid, energy-only.

Regulation

Federal stack, provincial regulators, Indigenous law as a gate.

Plants

The large stations, operating versus announced.